Air
fares: Bargains are back
Full planes this summer meant rock-bottom fares
were tough to find, but new fall sales are coming.
August 14, 2003: 12:56 PM EDT
By Chris
Isidore, CNN/Money Senior Writer
NEW YORK (CNN/Money) - After a summer of full airplanes and higher
fares, airlines are preparing to cut prices again to keep up demand
through the fall travel season.
Wednesday industry leader American Airlines announced a new round of
fare sales, with some fares as low as $49 one-way.
The cuts follow moves last week by some leading discount carriers,
including Southwest Airlines, which had some transcontinental fares as
low as $99 one-way. That fare then was matched by some major carriers,
such as United Airlines, which disclosed its fall sales plans Monday,
including both discounted air fares and hotel stays.
"This is the first week we've had for a while where you can walk
away feeling you have a rock-bottom deal," said Tom Parsons,
president of Bestfares.com, who said the lowest prices were about $150
more round-trip on a trans-continental flight through most of the
summer.
Fall fare sales are nothing new in the industry -- they're the norm
even in good times for airlines as the peak summer travel season comes
to an end. But the current fare sale comes as the industry struggles for
improved returns from customers even when planes are close to full.
"What you have to remember is average fares are at 20-year
lows," American Airlines spokesman Tim Wagner said. "When you
run a fare sale off 20-year lows, you get fantastic fares."
The airlines all reported a historically high percentage of seats
filled through June and July, a measure known as load factor that
compares miles flown by paying passengers with the potential capacity of
an airline.
Since many major carriers like American and United cut capacity this
summer due to weak economics, both the money-losing major carriers and
the profitable discount carriers like Southwest and JetBlue generally
were reporting record or near-record load factors. That made it tough to
find the real rock-bottom fares seen earlier the year, Parsons said.
But overall fares as measured by the average amount paid by
passengers per mile flown have not shown much, if any, improvement,
according to industry analysts, as the growth of discount airlines
forced the major carriers to keep top fares low.
"The load factors are unprecedented, and in a pre-9/11
environment, this would clearly be a boon to (higher fares)," said
John Heimlich, managing director of economics for the Air Transport
Association, the industry trade group. "With the way things are, we
are only getting a modest (fare) benefit."
The pressure on more expensive business fares is only set to increase
with continue growth of discounters in key markets, such as
cross-country flights.
America West Airlines announced Monday it will start its first
non-stop transcontinental service between New York's Kennedy
International Airport and Boston Logan International Airport, on the
East Coast, and Los Angeles International Airport and San Francisco
International Airport on the West Coast, with some flights coming as
soon as October.
That is more good news to cross-country travelers, as it's likely to
prompt the large airlines to continue cutting fares on these key routes,
Lehman Brothers airline analyst Gary Chase said. He estimated in a note
to clients that these routes produced $1.3 billion a year in revenue for
the four largest airlines serving those markets -- American, United,
Delta Air Lines and Continental Airlines.
"These transcontinental markets have been flagship business
routes for the airlines and in better times were large profit
generators," Chase wrote. "America West's entry into these
markets, however, begs the question of whether or not these routes will
be large profit generators in any up cycle, especially if the network
airlines are forced to match America West's fare structure." 
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